Covid: Raab defends 'targeted' new coronavirus measures

Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab has defended the "balanced, targeted and proportionate" new coronavirus measures amid criticism from some scientists.

In England, people are being told to work from home if they can and rules on face coverings have been expanded.

The measures have exposed a split among scientists. Prof John Edmunds, who advises the government, said they did not go "anywhere near far enough".

But other scientists say they hope they are a shift towards a coherent policy.

It comes as Scotland recorded 486 new cases on Wednesday - the highest daily total since the pandemic began.

First Minister Nicola Sturgeon said it was "a real cause for concern", although she added that more people were being tested now than at the peak of the outbreak.

Tighter restrictions were announced in all four UK nations on Tuesday. In England these include a 22:00 closing time for pubs and restaurants from Thursday and the number of people allowed at weddings has been halved. The fines for breaking the rules are set to increase to £200 on the first offence.

Hospitality venues in Scotland will also have to close early, but in Wales restrictions are limited to stopping alcohol sales at 22:00. Scotland and Northern Ireland have also gone further by limiting households from mixing indoors.

Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer has said he supports the new measures, but during Wednesday's Prime Minister's Questions he accused Boris Johnson of "losing control" of the virus and of virus testing.

Mr Johnson defended the NHS Test and Trace system, saying it was allowing the government to to see "in granular detail" where the epidemic was breaking out.

Earlier, Mr Raab said there would always be the "Goldilocks criticism - too much or too little" of the government's strategy, but that the aim was to avoid the need for more drastic action.

He said if people followed all the existing measures, the country would "get through this" and "get to Christmas not in a national lockdown".

He said there was no fixed end time to the measures - which the prime minister has warned could last up to six months.

In an interview on Radio 4's Today programme, Prof Edmunds said the comprehensive lockdown in March had brought the R number - which measures how quickly the virus is spreading - down from 2.7 to 0.7.

A large range of measures was now needed to stop the epidemic growing any further, he said, casting doubt on the changes of R being below one by Christmas. "I suspect not. There's a chance, of course there's a chance," he said.

"To slow the epidemic down will mean putting the brakes on very hard. I suspect we will see very stringent measures coming in through the UK but it will be too late," he warned.

Prof Peter Openshaw, who is also a member of the government's Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage), said a ban on households mixing indoors in England "ought to be instituted sooner rather than later".

Speaking to Radio 5 Live's Emma Barnett, he said: "I think [a ban] may well be coming very soon. I would think if we wait two or three weeks, it will be too late."

The government's chief medical adviser, Prof Chris Whitty, is reported to believe it is inevitable England will to have to follow Scotland's latest move, according to the Times.

Another scientist, Prof Carl Heneghan, from Oxford University, said the measures seemed to show the emphasis of public policy was moving towards personal responsibility, similar to the approach taken in Sweden.

He told Today. "We're starting to understand that we're trying to control the spread of infection as opposed to suppress it."

He added it was important to give these new measures time to work, maintain a clear and consistent public message and not to panic.

The debate about what is the right thing to do is just going to get more heated in the coming days and weeks.

Cases are rising - and most experts agree the steps taken by the government, certainly in England, are only going to having a minimum effect on curbing an increase in infection rates.

What no one knows is how quickly cases will go up - and what impact that will have on hospital admissions and deaths.

If the government is determined to suppress the virus - to get the R below one as the prime minister said - more draconian measures will surely follow.

But if it was definitely going for this approach, it would surely have gone further with the restrictions it announced on Tuesday. Lockdown-style measures have a greater impact when they are taken earlier.

That is what has prompted suggestions it may be moving towards adopting the "Swedish model" of accepting some spread. This is being done in the knowledge the UK is now in a better position to protect the vulnerable and treat those who get really sick - enabling ministers to balance the risk of the virus versus the risk to the economy, society and wider health and wellbeing.

But it means the big decision is yet to come - and crucial to that will be what happens to hospital cases and deaths.

The devolved nations have their own powers over coronavirus restrictions.

Scotland's Deputy First Minister John Swinney acknowledged the new rules banning people from visiting other people's homes were "difficult and disruptive" and said they would be reviewed every three weeks.

"No one wants to have this in place a moment longer. The more public compliance, the more successful we will be," he told BBC Breakfast.

Wales's First Minister, Mark Drakeford, urged people not to let the virus "take a hold of our lives again", and Northern Ireland's First Minister Arlene Foster said tougher restrictions should act as a "wake-up call" that "we are not out of the woods".

The latest R estimate for the whole of the UK is between 1.1 and 1.4.

And the number of UK cases rose by 4,926 on Tuesday, government figures showed, with deaths increasing by 37.

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